Futures Prop Firm Calculator
Pick a firm, plan, and account size. Tune your winrate, RR, and trade frequency. The simulator runs a Monte Carlo against each firm's real drawdown, daily-loss, and consistency rules to estimate pass odds, costs, and payouts.
PT:DD1.50×DrawdownEOD trailingPayout100%Consistency50% ruleDaily loss$1,000
Your trading system
Winrate40.0%
Reward : Risk (RR)2.00 : 1
max 20 for Apex Trader Funding
Risk per trade (1R)
≈ 0.50% of account
Coupon
$349
%
$119
%
Pin a scenario to compare deltas
Outcome
Pass probability
33.0%31.4% bust · 10.2% timeoutClean pass
33.0%50.0% single-day capAvg days to pass
29.7 dmin 0 requiredTotal cost (avg)
$468P90 budget $468First payout
day 355d min · $2.1K bufferMonthly net (est)
$326payout $1,416 avgTrading edge
Max losing streak
7 / 9P50 / P95Risk of ruin
31.4%bust before passingRisk of 5+ losses
94.9%10+: rareROI on cost
202.6%net $948 / costTrades per pass
30when you passMax drawdown
$2.3KP50 $2.3KStrategy Analysis
Returns Breakdown
Annualized ROI7.83% / yr0.65%/mo · 0.16%/wk · 0.046%/trade
Avg trade size+$500 / −$2502.00:1 reward-to-risk
Trades per pass30 trades12W · 18L · 40.0% WR
Sum R per pass+2.8R+2.00R win · −1.00R loss
Drawdown %4.50% avgP95 4.50% worst
Balance range$47.8K – $65.3Kacross 2,000 trials
Risk-Adjusted Returns
Profit factor1.32marginal
Sharpe (ann.)2.65excellent
Sortino (ann.)13.03excellent
Calmar1.74acceptable
Recovery factor0.42net < max DD
Omega ratio9.16strong
Gain-to-pain9.16strong
Ulcer index1.4low DD pain
Edge
Expectancy
Per trade (R)+0.09R
Per trade ($)$23
Break-even WR33.3%
Edge margin+6.7pp
Edge confidence
Trades / eval (P50)30
Z-score0.77 (weak)
Min trades (95% CI)136
Kelly sizing
Full Kelly10.0%
Half Kelly (rec.)5.0%
Current risk0.5%
Kelly index0.05× (under-betting)
Tail Risk
VaR 95%$2.3Kloss in 1-of-20 trials
CVaR 95% (ES)$2.3Kavg loss in worst 5%
VaR 99%$2.3Kloss in 1-of-100 trials
CVaR 99% (ES)$2.3Kavg loss in worst 1%
Tail ratio4.33upside / downside tail
Loss probability
Multi-firm portfolio
| Firm | Plan | Accounts | Coupon | Actions | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Days to pass distribution
1170 passing trials only
Drawdown Duration & Recovery
Time underwater74.7%avg % of days below peak
DD episodes / path10.6531 total across 50 paths
Avg DD duration4.5 dmax 37.0 d
Avg DD depth1.5%mean peak-to-trough
Avg recovery time2.3 dfrom trough to new peak
V-shape episodes2.2%fast recovery (< 40% of dur.)
Recovery tax (loss needs more gain to break even)
Compounding Growth Simulator
Median final balance$63.1Kstart: $50K
Annualised CAGR+26.3%compound annual growth
P25 final$58.6K25th percentile outcome
P75 final$69.1K75th percentile outcome
Time to 2×—median trading days
Ruin probability0.0%balance drops to <10%
Fixed-fractional compounding at 0.50% per trade · 1 trade/day · 500 trials · shaded bands: P25–P75 (dark) and P5–P95 (light)
Streak & Drawdown Resilience
Loss tolerance
8
consecutive losses before bust
P95 worst streak
9
from simulation
Buffer
-1
at risk
To survive your P95 worst streak (9 losses), max safe risk is $222 (0.44% of account).
Optimal risk sweep
No data yet Adjust your inputs to see the optimal risk distribution. | ||||||
Pass% sensitivity
| ↓ Winrate / RR → | 1:1 | 1.5:1 | 2:1 | 2.5:1 | 3:1 | 3.5:1 | 4:1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monthly net sensitivity
| ↓ Winrate / RR → | 1:1 | 1.5:1 | 2:1 | 2.5:1 | 3:1 | 3.5:1 | 4:1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plans within Apex Trader Funding
No plans | |||||||
Firm comparison at your inputs
No matching plans | |||||||
Multi-account strategy lab
| Label | Risk $ | WR % | RR | Tr/day | Accts | Mode | Groups | Day-stop | Actions | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Risk-scale: simulating…
Frequency-scale: simulating…
Group-split: simulating…